WEALTH vs. INCOME: They are not the same thing.
Income is the money you earn. It can come from your job, a business, rental property, or even investments. It’s what comes in each week, month, or year — like your paycheck or dividends. Wealth is what you own. It’s the value of your assets — your home, savings, retirement accounts, investments, and any other things of value — minus what you owe (your debts). Why They’re Not the Same A family can have a high income and still not have wealth, especially if that family spends everything they earn or carries a lot of debt. On the flip side, [...]
Thoughts On: Uses of Cash in the Portfolio
Should we go to cash? Why cash? Periodically, clients ask if we should “go to cash” with their portfolios. They never ask this question while stock prices are going up, but only when prices have been coming down. This is due to the human tendency to buy at the top and sell at the bottom, which is a bad tendency. To combat this tendency, I want to look closer at the role of cash in an investment portfolio. An investment portfolio has at least a five-year time horizon; it is NOT short-term spending money. Short-term spending money belongs in cash [...]
Navigating Today’s Market Realities
Investors face a complex landscape: cash and short-term bonds offer modest returns that, after taxes and inflation, do not currently keep pace with rising living costs. For example, a 4.2% Treasury Bill, when taxed at 35% and adjusted for 3% inflation, loses 0.3% per year[1]. 10-Year and 30-Year Treasuries yield 4.3% and 4.4%, so they are in the same boat. The S&P 500 has a YTD Loss of 5.45%[2] after seeing a steep drop and an equally steep bounce in early April. Investors can look overseas, but that’s not a sure thing at all. It seems like there is nowhere [...]
So Far the 2020’s Don’t Look Like the 2010’s
Portfolio Manager Jeff Muhlenkamp reviews the impact of national and international policies, the state of the US economy, the global economy, and changes in the political environment on investment opportunities. Watch the April 3, 2025, Investment Seminar recording. The opinions expressed are those of Muhlenkamp & Co. and are not intended to be a forecast of future events, a guarantee of future results, nor investment advice.
Thoughts On: Managing your Portfolio in Uncertain Times
I’ve been paying attention to the stock market for over 30 years, and I can’t remember any times that weren’t uncertain. I checked with Ron, who has been paying attention since 1968, and he can’t remember any times of certainty either. When I think about managing your investment portfolio in uncertain times, I start with these questions: What is uncertain today? What has been uncertain in the past? Were these unprecedented at the time? How did you manage your portfolio then? What did you learn from that? For example, the 1970’s were unprecedented in having high inflation combined with high [...]