The 5 Ps of Rational Investing: What Matters Most
It’s hard to be rational when investing, ESPECIALLY when emotions seem to drive the markets. We’ve written about rational versus emotional investing in “The Game of the Stock Market vs. The Business of Investing” and “When Emotions Hijack Your Investment Returns,” but we have distilled those ideas into the Five P’s of Rational Investing. The interesting thing about market cycles isn’t just how they unfold—it’s also how investors respond to them. By nature, investors become complacent when markets are strong and panic when markets take a downturn. Both responses undermine long-term success. The best investors do something different. They maintain [...]
Muhlenkamp Memorandum #157
The economy showed modest growth in Q4, with a split between expanding services and contracting manufacturing. The Fed cut rates three times and quietly resumed asset purchases, raising questions about their inflation strategy. While AI excitement showed signs of cooling, gold delivered exceptional returns—up 70% for the year. We also invested in cyclical companies positioned for recovery. Read our full Quarterly Letter for a complete year-end review. Click to print a PDF copy of the full Memorandum.