Memorandum #154
Jeff and Ron Muhlenkamp discuss the first quarter of 2025, which saw stable economic indicators like CPI. But significant government policy shifts, particularly in tariffs and regulatory restructuring, have created uncertainty and market volatility. While we are monitoring potential risks like inflation and recession, we remain focused on identifying profitable investment opportunities amidst these changes. Read more of their insights in their current Quarterly Letter. In "Managing Your Portfolio in Uncertain Times," Tony Muhlenkamp discusses how uncertainty in the stock market is constant, making it essential to focus on what you can control rather than attempting to predict the unpredictable. [...]
Letter to My Daughters: On Inflation as a Benchmark
In my last letter,[1] I talked about the various risks you have to contend with as an investor, and that different risks become more or less critical depending on what you are trying to do and the time frame you have for doing it. Now I want to discuss inflation, which I think is the paramount risk you face when trying to accomplish long-term financial goals. There are various definitions of inflation, and different theories about what causes inflation, all of which are interesting and can be useful depending on the situation, the discussion, and the problem you are trying [...]
So Far the 2020’s Don’t Look Like the 2010’s
Portfolio Manager Jeff Muhlenkamp reviews the impact of national and international policies, the state of the US economy, the global economy, and changes in the political environment on investment opportunities. Watch the April 3, 2025, Investment Seminar recording. The opinions expressed are those of Muhlenkamp & Co. and are not intended to be a forecast of future events, a guarantee of future results, nor investment advice.