Our webcast, led by Tony Muhlenkamp, takes a fresh look at an old topic: how do we save for college? Given the past few months, should we change the way we plan and save for our children’s education? Watch the webcast to hear our ideas on planning for your financial future. More >
Ron and Jeff update their views on the economy and the global investing environment. Negative developments include slowing global economic growth and diminishing positive impacts from the 2017 tax law changes. Positive developments include a fairly stable domestic economy and a shift in Federal Reserve attitudes and possibly actions. Give it a listen for more details. More >
From a market perspective, this has been a quiet summer. As of 9/30/2017, the S&P 500 was up 6.63% over the last six months with hardly a dip. Low economic growth continues on a global basis, none of the major central banks have altered course in any fashion, inflation remains low, second quarter earnings came in nicely, etc. More >
As June comes to a close, we find that most of the things we talked about in March haven’t changed much. Starting at the international level, both the European and Japanese Central banks continue to buy bonds (Japan also buys equities) in order to manage interest rates and support their economies... More >
Ron's maxim, “When you change the rules a little, you change the game a lot,”
applies to many things in life. During our webcast, Jeff and Ron looked at the potential impact and the second and third effects that changing policies and regulations by President Trump and his new administration could have on the economy. Since the last recession, small businesses have been reluctant to expand because they were unsure of the rules: the possibility of increased taxes, expanding healthcare costs, and more regulations. After the 2016 election, small business confidence spiked. Jeff and Ron debated what may have boosted optimism. They also talked about current interest rates, bond rates, the dollar, and ongoing concerns in Europe.
2016 was a disappointing year for us as our accounts, on average, lost about 3.56% of their value over the course of the year (individual performance varies by account), while the S&P 500 gained 11.96%—both figures include reinvestment of income. The obvious question is “Why the underperformance relative to your benchmark?” The short answer is that we didn’t own enough of the best performing sectors in the market: energy, financials, and industrials and we owned too much of the worst performing sector in the market: health care...
Is the economy back to pre-recessionary levels? Your answer may depend on what data you use and how you define your terms. Jeff and Ron walk through over 20 economic charts from foreign currencies vs. the dollar to their 10-point checklist they use as a guide. Here is an archive or our December 1, 2016 webcast.
This essay gives examples of why you should completely understand what you are buying before you buy it. Be sure... More >
This essay was originally published in 2012. Ron compares the carbon content of various energy sources and the number of... More >
We have three topics for today: what’s happening with the economy, the rules (informal and formal) that affect ongoing changes,... More >